SSTs: Difference between revisions

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= Sea Surface Temperatures (SSTs) =
= Sea Surface Temperatures (SSTs) =


[[SSTFlooding|The Potential Link Between Sea Surface Temperatures and Flooding]]
==What are Sea Surface Temperatures (SST) and how are they measured?==
What are High SSTs?
*SST is a measure of the energy created by motion of molecules
• Historically what has been the temperature
*Measured between 10 micrometers with infrared bands and 1 millimeter below the surface with microwave bands
*Historically before 1980s measured with instruments on shorelines, ships, and buoys
• How has it increased/ trends in warming?
*Currently measured by remote sensing from satellites measuring electromagnetic radiation produced by motion of the charged particle
o (from epa.gov/climatechange) “sea surface temperature increased over the 20th century and continues to rise. From 1901 through 2012, temps rose at an average rate of .13 degrees F per decade.
**Motion of the charged particle produces electromagnetic radiation and the amplitude of the infrared and microwave wavelengths vary with temperature.
o “have been higher during the past three decades than at any other time since observations began.
**Still some floating instruments in the ocean that measure temperature.
o “increases in sst have largely occurred over two key periods: between 1910 and 1940 and from about 1960 to the present. SST appear to have cooled between 1880 and 1910”
 
o
==Why and how are Sea Surface Temperatures rising?==
What are causes of SSTs?
*Natural
• Anthropogenic
**Absorbs heat and radiation from the atmosphere
• Earth’s oceans are warming as a direct result of increased concentrations of atmospheric carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases that increase air temperatures.
**Dominant atmospheric factors driving ocean temperature include wind speed, air temperature, cloudiness, and humidity; dominant oceanic factors include heat transport by currents and vertical mixing. Fluctuations in sea surface temperatures vary with the seasons.
Natural
*Anthropogenic
• “Oceans have the ability to release or attain heat from the atmosphere and this exchange of heat is a driving force of atmospheric circulation. Evaporation rates are expected to increase with climate change, resulting in increases in atmospheric water vapor. Water vapor is a much more potent greenhouse gas than carbon dioxide; thus, increased water vapor concentrations contribute to greater downward longwave radiation fluxes that increase the amount of heat retained in the atmosphere.
**Warming as a direct result of increased concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere that raises air temperatures
• •      Cycle of increased water vapor to stimulate increased global warming and thus continued production of water vapor, leading to a “runaway greenhouse effect”
*Feedback Loops
• •      Water vapor clouds at high altitudes absorb and re-radiate long-wave radiation, which causes warming by augmenting the greenhouse effect, but low altitude clouds reflect incoming solar radiation which leads to cooling
**Relationship between ocean-atmosphere heat exchanges and global weather and climate patterns
• •      Do not know which effect will have greatest impact, but evidence suggests it will lead to an increase in warming which will cause upper ocean temperatures to increase at a faster rate
**In the case of thermal expansion, given an equal mass, the total volume of ocean waters decrease when ocean temperatures drop and expand when temperatures increase
• “Dominant atmospheric factors driving ocean temperature include wind speed, air temperature, cloudiness, and humidity; dominant oceanic factors include heat transport by currents and vertical mixing. Fluctuations in sea surface temperatures vary with the seasons.” (11)
**Positive Feedback: warming of sea surface temperatures leads to increased ice melting and evaporation and increased humidity creates more intense storms, more extreme precipitation, and wind events. Some areas because of increased evaporation will experience intense surface drying increasing the risk of flooding when intense storms occur. [[SSTFlooding|The Potential Link Between Sea Surface Temperatures and Flooding]]
Feedback loops
 
• •      Relationship between ocean-atmosphere heat exchanges and global weather and climate patterns
==What impact does this have on Coral Reefs?==
• •      “In the case of thermal expansion, given an equal mass, the total volume of ocean waters decrease when ocean temperatures drop and expand when temperatures increase” 12
*Coral bleaching is a stress response that causes the coral to expel their zooxanthellae or lose algal pigmentation
• •      Positive Feedback: warming of sea surface temperatures à increased ice melting and evaporation à increased humidity creates more intense storms à more extreme precipitation and wind events. Some areas because of increased evaporation will experience intense surface drying increasing the risk of flooding when intense storms occur.
*Bleaching can be triggered when thermal condition is as little as 1 c higher than mean summer maximum. Evidence emerging of possible thermal thresholds in the range of 30-32 C for some physiological processes of coral reef organisms
*From June to October 2005, satellite-based sea surface temperature (SST) observations from the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) detected a large region of warming ocean temperatures that reached a maximum anomaly of +1.2°C vs. the long-term mean when averaged across all Caribbean reef sites.
Effects of SSTs on Coral?
**Mortality exceeded 50% in several locations
Coral Bleaching
**Increased temperatures were quickly followed by a loss of resistance to pathogenic disease and an increased abundance of microbial pathogens
• Increase in Severity of Storms
*Increased flooding of nutrients and sediments
• http://water.usgs.gov/nrp/proj.bib/Publications/2008/mccabe_wolock_2008.pdf
**Sediment and nutrient loads may occur as chronic long term loads and short term pulses such as river flood plumes, related to storm events
o Increase flooding of Nutrients
**Can lead to phase shifts on the coral reefs
 Effects on Coral reef
 
o Increase in Sediment Overload
==What are some things we can do to slow down rising Sea Surface Temperatures and their effects?==
 Effects on Coral Reef
*Reduce Carbon Emissions and pollutants
Recovery/Treatment Options
*Increase protection for coral to mitigate other threats and make it less vulnerable
• Can High SSTs be reversed
*Lower the amount of nutrient overloading
Can effects on Coral be mitigated
*Increase vegetation cover to prevent sediment runoff
Sources
 
• Russ and McCook. 1999, Potential effects of a cyclone on benthic algae production and yield to grazers on the great barrier reef. Journal of Experimental Marine Biology and Ecology.235:237-244
==What are some predictions in the scientific community in response to current trends?==
• Oceanographic Processes of Coral Reefs: Physical and Biological links in the Great Barrier Reef by Eric Wolanski
*Scientific Study in Japan: Rapid poleward range expansion of tropical reef corals in response to rising sea surface temperatures
• http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/science/indicators/oceans/sea-surface-temp.html
**Speed of coral range expansions presented in this study reached up to 14 km/year which is far greater than that of other species and greater than other marine 5km/year typically
• McCabe and Wolock.2007. Joint Variability of Global Runoff and Global Sea Surface Temperatures. Journal of Hydrometerology. 9: 816-824
**Poleward current flows only… increases speed of coral reef expansion
*Second Study: Limiting global warming to 2 degrees Celsius is unlikely to save most coral reefs
**An increase of 2 degrees Celsius global mean warming would result in a long-term degradation of all coral reef ecosystems without a change in thermal tolerance
**Even an increase of 1.5 degrees Celsius global mean warming suggests 89% of coral reef ecosystems would face long-term degradation without a change in thermal tolerance
**To protect at least 50% of the coral reef cells, global mean temperature change would have to be limited to 1.2 degrees Celsius global mean warming
**thermal stress

Revision as of 21:36, 14 April 2014

Sea Surface Temperatures (SSTs)

What are Sea Surface Temperatures (SST) and how are they measured?

  • SST is a measure of the energy created by motion of molecules
  • Measured between 10 micrometers with infrared bands and 1 millimeter below the surface with microwave bands
  • Historically before 1980s measured with instruments on shorelines, ships, and buoys
  • Currently measured by remote sensing from satellites measuring electromagnetic radiation produced by motion of the charged particle
    • Motion of the charged particle produces electromagnetic radiation and the amplitude of the infrared and microwave wavelengths vary with temperature.
    • Still some floating instruments in the ocean that measure temperature.

Why and how are Sea Surface Temperatures rising?

  • Natural
    • Absorbs heat and radiation from the atmosphere
    • Dominant atmospheric factors driving ocean temperature include wind speed, air temperature, cloudiness, and humidity; dominant oceanic factors include heat transport by currents and vertical mixing. Fluctuations in sea surface temperatures vary with the seasons.
  • Anthropogenic
    • Warming as a direct result of increased concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere that raises air temperatures
  • Feedback Loops
    • Relationship between ocean-atmosphere heat exchanges and global weather and climate patterns
    • In the case of thermal expansion, given an equal mass, the total volume of ocean waters decrease when ocean temperatures drop and expand when temperatures increase
    • Positive Feedback: warming of sea surface temperatures leads to increased ice melting and evaporation and increased humidity creates more intense storms, more extreme precipitation, and wind events. Some areas because of increased evaporation will experience intense surface drying increasing the risk of flooding when intense storms occur. The Potential Link Between Sea Surface Temperatures and Flooding

What impact does this have on Coral Reefs?

  • Coral bleaching is a stress response that causes the coral to expel their zooxanthellae or lose algal pigmentation
  • Bleaching can be triggered when thermal condition is as little as 1 c higher than mean summer maximum. Evidence emerging of possible thermal thresholds in the range of 30-32 C for some physiological processes of coral reef organisms
  • From June to October 2005, satellite-based sea surface temperature (SST) observations from the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) detected a large region of warming ocean temperatures that reached a maximum anomaly of +1.2°C vs. the long-term mean when averaged across all Caribbean reef sites.
    • Mortality exceeded 50% in several locations
    • Increased temperatures were quickly followed by a loss of resistance to pathogenic disease and an increased abundance of microbial pathogens
  • Increased flooding of nutrients and sediments
    • Sediment and nutrient loads may occur as chronic long term loads and short term pulses such as river flood plumes, related to storm events
    • Can lead to phase shifts on the coral reefs

What are some things we can do to slow down rising Sea Surface Temperatures and their effects?

  • Reduce Carbon Emissions and pollutants
  • Increase protection for coral to mitigate other threats and make it less vulnerable
  • Lower the amount of nutrient overloading
  • Increase vegetation cover to prevent sediment runoff

What are some predictions in the scientific community in response to current trends?

  • Scientific Study in Japan: Rapid poleward range expansion of tropical reef corals in response to rising sea surface temperatures
    • Speed of coral range expansions presented in this study reached up to 14 km/year which is far greater than that of other species and greater than other marine 5km/year typically
    • Poleward current flows only… increases speed of coral reef expansion
  • Second Study: Limiting global warming to 2 degrees Celsius is unlikely to save most coral reefs
    • An increase of 2 degrees Celsius global mean warming would result in a long-term degradation of all coral reef ecosystems without a change in thermal tolerance
    • Even an increase of 1.5 degrees Celsius global mean warming suggests 89% of coral reef ecosystems would face long-term degradation without a change in thermal tolerance
    • To protect at least 50% of the coral reef cells, global mean temperature change would have to be limited to 1.2 degrees Celsius global mean warming
    • thermal stress

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